Monday, 18 November 2013
My updated student loan lesson
Multiple reports have been published explaining that when high school students list their preferred colleges on federal financial aid applications, that they could be used against them.
"A university concerned about its "yield" - a closely-watched measure that tracks how many accepted students actually enroll - may not extend an admission offer if the university is near the bottom of an otherwise qualified student's list, for fear the offer will be rejected.
A college at the top of a student's list, on the other hand, may not feel compelled to offer generous financial aid, since the student is seen as likely to accept without it."
The advice our guidance counselors are giving is to have our students list their top ten in alphabetical order.
I incorporate resources from the US Department of Education (FAFSA) and Consumer Financial Protection Bureau such as college search tools and key dates in the lesson.
Here is my full lesson posted online. The "Student Handout" guides the student through the lesson.
Saturday, 16 November 2013
Yolanda (Haiyan) victims need no whistle-blower

I really like Wrigley's tagline - "In times like these, you need a juicy". This simply reminds us to be cool and calm in adversities than being stupid enough to be prejudicial and skeptical. Being cool and calm is not being passive and lazy but being strategic and action-oriented. It's the message of this post.
The devastation of typhoon Yolanda was a black swan. That was the strongest storm ever recorded and some considered it to be an outlier.
But the fact that it happened simply pushes us to think and act differently than what we did in the past. This is already an alarming call for us to act and change, far different than the way we lived before.
Yolanda Lessons and Action Plans
- Cars and houses were flushed out like ants in the molehill. This might happen again, God forbid. Strengthen buildings and infrastructure projects to anticipate stronger gusts in the future (take note of "stronger"). Perhaps the single mistake was we were unable to anticipate the worst case scenario. Preventive action plans could have done.
- Create a robust Emergency Response and Preparedness Team to act immediately in Search and Rescue Operations (SRO) and relief goods distribution. The bulk of work here is on PLANNING. We should never take this for granted. Let's not make 'death of hunger' a reason for more casualties and looting as a legal act.
- The KISS Principle. Most people complain about how the media disseminated the news report. They kept on hearing about "storm surge" but no one seemed to care. "If the people were told of a 'mini-tsunami' instead, many could have evacuated and survived!", one friend told me. Valid but there is always two sides of a coin. Media and government must be proactive enough to convey the news in an easy-to-understand layman's term to the nth time. Keep It Simple Stupid!
This is not something new. This happens every time, only that the majority of us only discovered this 'sad truth' just this time. This happens anywhere in the world too but on a lighter scale.
Friday, 15 November 2013
Do you have a classroom micro-economy? Be careful.
One view: Personal Finance should be offered in every school so our children will be empowered with tools and concepts to be rich.
My view: Personal Finance should be offered in every school so our children will be empowered with practical tools and concepts to live a happy life.
Perspective on happiness varies from person to person. For some, happiness does indeed correlate with great wealth. For most, research has found that financial stability is most correlated with happiness, not great wealth.
To begin the year in my classroom we play the Awesome Island Game (which I no longer own the rights). In my game, participants simulate a life over the span of forty years. The financial choices they make impact their net worth. Most students aspire to conclude the game with the greatest net worth, earning them a ticket to "Awesome Island".
Earlier this semester I noticed one of our brightest students was accumulating enough assets to earn a ticket to Awesome Island. However, at the conclusion of the game he only had enough money to purchase a ticket to "It's Okay Island". I quickly reviewed his budget and recognized on the philanthropy line item that he had given most of his wealth away at the end of his life. It was important for him to give back, it is what makes him happy. I was impressed that he understood that feeling awesome has more to do with what lies in your heart, rather than the zip code under your feet.
With that said, I am a big fan of using micro-economies when they are managed appropriately. However, here are my concerns...
- Correlating test grades with a micro-economy can be contrary to the spirit of a personal finance class. We want students to understand how to generate wealth and value the benefits of capitalism. However, if a teacher is strictly correlating the success of a student with wealth, what does that say about us? Let's not send a message to our students that serving as a teacher, fire fighter, police officer, social worker, soldier, etc. makes us a failure because we don't have the same bottom line as an investment banker.
- Including test grades as a part of a micro-economy can be counterproductive to some special education children who cognitively do not have the ability to test as well as some of their peers. Many of these kids go through school frustrated and fully aware of their challenges. Our classrooms should give them hope, not a rank.
- Including test grades as a part of a micro-economy is not necessarily an accurate reflection of how well a student will do financially in life. As an example, my students have participated in the bill paying simulation Budget Challenge for a number of years. I do not give them time in class to work, it is purely for homework and designed to measure whether they are gritty enough to stay on top of their bills throughout the semester in their own time. In other words, I'm assessing their behavior. I have found...
- there is a correlation between content and behavior, however...
- some students who test well are not gritty enough to pay their bills on time.
- some students who do not test well are gritty enough to pay their bills on time, but struggle to make good choices. However, many of these students still outperform the good test takers who are apathetic.
Wednesday, 13 November 2013
The Various Markets to Engage in with Spread Betting
The platform that you will be working with also gives you options of communicating with your broker about how your shares are looking, as well as receiving information that is vital to making your trades. When it comes to the markets, you need to know about the options that you have. The following are just some of the markets that you could find yourself in with spread betting.
Spread Betting With Shares
Shares are one of the most popular markets that traders seem to work with. The reason for this is; they provide some of the best market prices with high returns and very little risk. They are also very convenient for the traders to work with, allowing them to control the exposure that they have. The profits that are made by traders are not subject to any stamp duty or capital gains tax, meaning that the profit you make is what you will keep. The only charge that is going to be coming out of this amount is what you owe to your broker for their services.
Spread Betting With Indices
Indices are another popular trade to work with, as you will be trading the stock market as a whole. The larger trades that you work with will be moving much faster, which is convenient for those that are not very patient with the market. With this type of trade, you can hold your position for as long as you need or want without having an expiry. There are a large number of companies that you will be working with on a single stock market, which makes this ideal for those that don't have time to work with multiple trades at one time.
Spread Betting With Commodities
Commodities are a type of trade that will work with forward and spot contracts. They have also been known to work with soft commodity betting, basically meaning just different types of commodities. With commodities, there are various types that you can choose from including energy commodities, restaurant commodities, retail store commodities and many more. You just need to choose the area that you feel most comfortable with and take a chance.
Spread Betting With Currencies
Currencies are the last type of trade that you can find interest in. Most people choose currencies, as they are working with foreign currencies and the Forex market. This type of market is a hard market to get into, and you can get the help that you need from your broker if you find any trouble. Don't worry about messing up a few times, this gives you the ability to learn from your mistakes and make better choices the next time around.
Saturday, 9 November 2013
Tracking Your Spending
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| Black Bear Tracks |
Since my last month's paycheck, I've been trying to get into the habit of jotting all my income and spending. Perfect timing too, because 2 months ago I've finally bought my first smartphone (nothing fancy, an Acer Z2 Duo) to use a budget and spending tracker app. I thought it would be easy and with the convenience of the smartphone, I'll get everything down to the last penny.
I was wrong. I'm off. By a lot.
I've narrowed my mistake to one thing: Procrastination. I kept delaying myself to take out my phone, load the app, and record the transaction. Then whatever is delayed, it never gets recorded.
So, I'm renewing my niyyah. I am committed to take record of all my transactions as they occur.
What's next? I will report on which app works best for me. I apologize that I only have an android phone, so I will try to use apps that are both on iOS and Android.
You are no Warren Buffett, so why pretend?
Turn on any business TV channel, and it is impossible not to be in awe of wise sounding financial analysts giving opinion about the market and stocks. Fundamental analysts will be analyzing economic conditions and their impact on a company’s business, and technical analysts will be analyzing chart formations. I don’t understand any of it because I am no Warren Buffett. And I don’t want to spend all my time figuring all this out. Do you feel the same?
Let me spell out my constraints, see if these are applicable to you:
- I am not a finance wizard, I don’t earn my living by investing
- I want my money to work and beat inflation instead of rotting in saving bank account or fixed deposits, but I am not chasing maximum return, I just want returns to meet my financial needs
- I want to live my life and not spend it all just watching my investments
- Based on my personal experiences and that of people around me, I don’t quite trust financial advisors; only thing guaranteed with them is their fees or commission, and they seem to suggest investments to maximize their income, not mine.
I call myself passive investor. My solution has been to practice passive investment philosophy of asset allocation and rebalancing, in a detached, systematic, methodical way. And I will explain it in this article. It has served me well, but I must caution that it might not be suitable for you, and it is not a financial advice of any kind. You should not blindly follow anything or anybody, not even Warren Buffett. Evaluate it, find out whether it makes sense to you. First and foremost, I advocate financial literacy.
Asset Allocation
First step is to understand your risk appetite, financial goals and timeframe. Evaluating this troika of risk-return-liquidity will help you in picking a suitable mix of asset classes. I keep aside contingency funds and short term needs in low-risk cash-equivalents (fixed deposit, liquid mutual funds), and medium term needs in medium-risk debt/bond mutual funds. Only for long term needs, I use asset allocation and rebalancing.
Figuring out risk appetite is quite hard. How am I supposed to know how I will feel if my portfolio falls by 10%, 20%, 30%, 50%? So I follow a popular rule of thumb for asset allocation: if your age is x, then portfolio asset allocation should be x% in medium-risk assets (bonds, gold) and (100-x)% in high-risk assets (equity, real estate). It is a good rule to start with, and based on learning and experience, one can fine tune it. The basic premise is that risk appetite decreases with age.
Let’s take a concrete example. Say, the age is 30 years, and for sake of simplicity, only investment options are bonds and equity. The suggested asset allocation is: 30% in bonds and 70% in equity.
Rebalancing
Rebalancing is a technique to maintain the desired asset allocation. Let’s say, one year back, you have invested ₹1 Lakh in chosen asset allocation of 30:70, i.e. 30% in bonds and 70% in equity. Suppose in last one year, bonds and equities gave 8% and 15% returns respectively. That will take allocation to 28.70 : 71.30 as shown in following table. To bring it back to 30:70, you will need to sell ₹1,470 worth of equity and invest that amount into bonds.
| Asset | Desired Allocation | Investment | Growth | Current Value | Current Allocation | Rebalance | Post Rebalancing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonds | 30% | ₹ 30,000 | 8% | ₹ 32,400 | 28.70% | ₹ +1,470 | ₹ 33,870 |
| Equity | 70% | ₹ 70,000 | 15% | ₹ 80,500 | 71.30% | ₹ -1,470 | ₹ 79,030 |
| Total | 100% | ₹ 1,00,000 | ₹ 1,12,900 | 100% | ₹ 0.00 | ₹ 1,12,900 |
Let’s see what would have happened if during last equity has fallen by 15% (instead of rising):
| Asset | Desired Allocation | Investment | Growth | Current Value | Current Allocation | Rebalance | Post Rebalancing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonds | 30% | ₹ 30,000 | 8% | ₹ 32,400 | 35.26% | ₹ –4,830 | ₹ 27,570 |
| Equity | 70% | ₹ 70,000 | -15% | ₹ 59,500 | 64.74% | ₹ +4,830 | ₹ 64,330 |
| Total | 100% | ₹ 1,00,000 | ₹ 91,900 | 100% | ₹ 0.00 | ₹ 91,900 |
Rebalancing would require selling ₹4,830 worth of bonds, and investing that amount in equity. As you probably noticed, the rebalancing strategy forces to book profit in the asset class that has gone up, and invest in the asset class gone down (buy when low, sell when high).
Rebalancing Triggers
There are different tactics for triggering rebalancing. The example above is when rebalancing is done after a year, that works fine since it avoids short term capital gains that are taxed at higher rate. But you can also pick 6 months or 15 months. Whatever period you pick, do it with discipline. Doing it at gap lesser than 3 months is futile, it just increases time overhead and transaction cost.
Another trigger that I use is the imbalance threshold of 5%. When the gap between desired and actual allocation for a asset class is more than 5%, I rebalance. For example, when my equity allocation goes above 75% or below 65%, I rebalance.
Rebalancing along with further investments or withdrawal
If you are in accumulation or withdrawal phase of your investments, i.e. you are putting in or withdrawing some amount every month from your investments, you can incorporate rebalancing into it such that after putting-in or withdrawing, your portfolio is at the desired asset allocation. That reduces transaction costs as well as potential tax outgo.
Let’s take the example above, and suppose you were investing ₹10,000 at the current month, you would need to invest ₹4,470 in bonds and ₹5,530 in equity:
| Asset | Desired Allocation | Investment | Growth | Current Value | Current Allocation | Invest | Post Rebalancing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonds | 30% | ₹ 30,000 | 8% | ₹ 32,400 | 28.70% | ₹ +4,470 | ₹ 36,870 |
| Equity | 70% | ₹ 70,000 | 15% | ₹ 80,500 | 71.30% | ₹ +5,530 | ₹ 86,030 |
| Total | 100% | ₹ 1,00,000 | ₹ 1,12,900 | 100% | ₹ +10,000 | ₹ 1,22,900 |
Similarly if you were withdrawing ₹10,000 the current month, you would need to withdraw ₹1,530 from bonds and ₹8,470 from equity:
| Asset | Desired Allocation | Investment | Growth | Current Value | Current Allocation | Withdraw | Post Rebalancing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonds | 30% | ₹ 30,000 | 8% | ₹ 32,400 | 28.70% | ₹ -1,530 | ₹ 30,870 |
| Equity | 70% | ₹ 70,000 | 15% | ₹ 80,500 | 71.30% | ₹ -8,470 | ₹ 72,030 |
| Total | 100% | ₹ 1,00,000 | ₹ 1,12,900 | 100% | ₹ –10,000 | ₹ 1,02,900 |
You do not need to do these computations every month by hand, instead it can be incorporated into an excel sheet.
Summary
My passive investment strategy for long term investment has two parts: asset allocation and rebalancing. Asset allocation is to decide weight of various asset classes in the portfolio based on risk profile. I use x : (100-x) thumb rule for asset allocation between medium : high risk asset classes. Rebalancing is to keep portfolio at desired asset allocation by selling/buying asset classes that have gone above/below their allocation percentage. Rebalancing can be done periodically or at some imbalance threshold. Further investing or withdrawal can be folded into rebalancing to save transaction cost and taxes.
In the next article, I will share an Excel sheet to automate asset allocation and rebalancing. In future articles, I will discuss investments in various asset classes such as bonds and equity.
Have you used asset allocation and rebalancing? Please share your thoughts and tips in comments.
Saturday, 2 November 2013
Investment 101: Investment Types and Asset Classes
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| © Secret Millionaires Club, Warren Buffett teaching kids investing, with cartoons |
First step is to learn about investment types, asset classes, and their return, reward and liquidity. It will help you in cutting through a lot of financial jargon and assess whether an investment suits your needs.
Risk, Reward, and Liquidity
Risk is the possibility that actual return on an investment could vastly differ from expectation, including the likelihood of loosing part or full investment amount. Higher that possibility and wider the gap between actual and expected returns, higher the risk. It is typically measured by calculating the standard deviation of the historic average returns of an investment. Higher the standard deviation, higher the risk.Returns or reward is the gain (or loss), typically in percentage, on the original invested amount in a given period of time.
Liquidity is the ability to convert an investment or asset to cash (and vice versa) quickly without affecting the price of the asset. Both time taken to liquidate an asset, as well as potential price movement during that time determines the degree of liquidity. For example, buying or selling a house or a privately held business can take quite a bit of time, and price can fluctuate due to economic events during that period.
Liquidity is often ignored, but it is a very important factor in making investment decisions. For someone with long time horizon, investing a small slice of portfolio in a illiquid and risky but potentially highly rewarding investment is a worthwhile pursuit. But the same is an absolutely bad idea if it makes your portfolio highly concentrated in that one highly illiquid asset and you need money back in, say, one year timeframe. So you should always consider troika of risk, reward and liquidity while evaluating investment alternatives.
Investment Types
There are three basic kinds of investments: ownership, lending, and cash equivalents.Ownership: These are investment which you own fully or partially. For examples, share in a company or a business, a house or any other real estate, gold or other precious materials, paintings or other valuable art works. Ownership investments are among riskiest and most profitable types of investments.
Lending: These investments are the kind of loans you have given with an expectation of getting the principal back along with fixed return rate. For example, a government or a company may issue a bond where it pays a fixed amount to bond buyer over certain period of time. Lending carries a risk of default where borrower is not able to pay back the interest and/or the principal. Lending investments tend to have lower risks and reward, and are typically more liquid than ownership investments.
Cash Equivalents: These are investments that as good as cash, i.e. can be quickly and easily converted to cash. For example, you can withdraw your money anytime in a saving bank account in a reputed Indian bank. Similarly mutual funds that invest in liquid or ultra-short term assets pay back the redemption amount in a day or two. The risk as well as returns are very small.
Asset Classes
There are five main asset classes commonly available to investors in India:| Asset Class (other names) | Investment Type | Underlying Security |
|---|
Risk
Returns
Liquidity
Examples
Cash
Cash Equivalents
Cash
Low
Low
High
Saving/checking/money-market accounts, liquid or ultra-short term mutual funds
Bonds (debt, fixed-income)
Lending
Debt/Loan
Low-Medium
Low-Medium
Low-Medium
Bank fixed deposits, Provident fund (PF), PPF, government bonds, company bonds and deposits, debt/income mutual funds
Gold
Ownership
Physical Gold
Medium
Medium
High
Physical gold, Certificates of gold deposits with banks, Gold Exchange Traded Funds (ETF)
Equity (Stocks)
Ownership
Shares in publically traded companies
High
High
Low-High
Stocks, Equity Mutual Funds, Equity-ETFs
Real Estate
Ownership
Real Estate properties
High
High
Low
Residential properties, office/retail properties, Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT)
Low/medium risk investments are also referred as defensive or asset protection/preservation investments, while high risk investments are known as aggressive or growth investments. You need to devise a combination of these asset classes, that suits your needs and risk profile, into your personal finance plan, and execute that plan methodically.
Mutual Funds
As you probably noticed that mutual funds are mentioned for all asset classes in the table above (ETF and REIT are also a kind of mutual fund). Mutual funds collect and pool money from many investors and invest those in one or more asset classes to achieve investment objective declared in the mutual fund prospectus and offering documents. These are operated by professional fund managers and regulated by competent authorities like SEBI. Main advantage is that it gives a professionally managed diversified portfolio of a particular asset class small investors, which is often difficult to create with small investment capital. It also takes overhead of monitoring, purchasing and selling of assets off from the investor. Of course, it comes with a price as these funds charge management fees, and risk of fund manager making poor choices. Value Research Online is a great resource for analyzing mutual funds in India, and it champions cause of small investors. We will get into mutual funds in much more details in future articles.In the next article, I will discuss how to put together a low time overhead financial plan through passive investment strategy of asset allocation and rebalancing.
Do you have any questions or suggestions, please share them in comments.


